NZD/USD slides further below 0.5700 in reaction to RBNZ’s supersized rate cut
- NZD/USD drifts lower for the second straight day after the RBNZ’s expected 50 bps rate cut.
- Concerns about Trump’s reciprocal tariffs and trade war fears further weigh on the Kiwi.
- Subdued USD price action could lend support to the pair amid a generally positive risk tone.
The NZD/USD pair attracts some sellers for the second straight day and drops to a three-day low, around the 0.5680-0.5675 area after the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) announced its policy decision this Wednesday.
As was widely expected, the RBNZ lowered the Official Cash Rate (OCR) by 50 basis points (bps) from 4.25% to 3.75% following the conclusion of the February policy meeting. Moreover, the accompanying monetary policy meeting minutes indicated that the committee has scope to lower the OCR further through 2025. This, in turn, exerts some downward pressure on the New Zealand Dollar (NZD) and drags the NZD/USD pair away from a nearly two-month top touched earlier this week.
The US Dollar (USD), on the other hand, struggles to capitalize on the previous day's positive move amid expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) would cut interest rates further this year. Apart from this, a generally positive tone around the equity markets caps the safe-haven Greenback and could offer some support to the risk-sensitive Kiwi. That said, worries about US President Donald Trump's reciprocal tariffs might hold back bulls from placing fresh bets around the NZD/USD pair.
Economic Indicator
RBNZ Interest Rate Decision
The Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) announces its interest rate decision after its seven scheduled annual policy meetings. If the RBNZ is hawkish and sees inflationary pressures rising, it raises the Official Cash Rate (OCR) to bring inflation down. This is positive for the New Zealand Dollar (NZD) since higher interest rates attract more capital inflows. Likewise, if it reaches the view that inflation is too low it lowers the OCR, which tends to weaken NZD.
Read more.Last release: Wed Feb 19, 2025 01:00
Frequency: Irregular
Actual: 3.75%
Consensus: 3.75%
Previous: 4.25%
Source: Reserve Bank of New Zealand
The Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) holds monetary policy meetings seven times a year, announcing their decision on interest rates and the economic assessments that influenced their decision. The central bank offers clues on the economic outlook and future policy path, which are of high relevance for the NZD valuation. Positive economic developments and upbeat outlook could lead the RBNZ to tighten the policy by hiking interest rates, which tends to be NZD bullish. The policy announcements are usually followed by Governor Adrian Orr’s press conference.